Insights

Darius Dale recently joined our friends Adam Taggart and Luke Gromen on Thoughtful Money to deliver a high-conviction update on the state of the U.S. economic and policy regimes. He challenged the growth recession consensus, articulated the implications of fiscal dominance, and emphasized the importance of disciplined positioning. Through the lens of 42 Macro’s systematic frameworks—KISS and Dr. Mo—Darius laid out why risk assets remain supported. Bears must use any near-term weakness to recalibrate accordingly.

If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:

1) The U.S. Economy Is Slowing, But Highly Unlikely To Enter Recession

Darius dismantled recession narratives…

Darius Dale joined Victor Hugo Rodriguez on Negocios TV to break down the macro forces shaping today’s investment landscape. He reaffirmed our Paradigm C thesis—anchored in pro-growth policy and continued fiscal largesse—and explained why many investors remain underexposed to the assets most likely to benefit. If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:

1) Three Key Risks: Growth, Gridlock, and Misunderstood Tariffs

Darius flagged three downside risks in the near term: a policy-induced growth slowdown, legislative gridlock over the expanding reconciliation bill, and fears regarding trade negotiations and tariffs.

Darius Dale sat down with Michael Every, global strategist at Rabobank, for a detailed conversation about America’s pivot toward neo-mercantilism and the future of economic statecraft. If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:

1) Trump Isn’t Bluffing—This Is a Grand Strategy

Every argues that President Trump’s policies aren’t random or chaotic as many investors believe. They reflect a deep-rooted neo-mercantilist ideology: prioritize domestic production, run trade surpluses, and wield economic statecraft as a geopolitical weapon. Every calls it “grand macro strategy”—and it’s already happening.